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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Celta Vigo logo

Valencia
3 - 0
Celta Vigo

Castillejo (37'), Maranhao (82'), Almeida (90+3')
Guillamon (16'), Lino (55'), Castillejo (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beltran (52'), Veiga (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Valencia 1-1 Celta Vigo

There has not been a La Liga draw between these two sides since September 2018, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared here. Both managers will be slightly cautious considering their results last time out, and a tense affair at Mestalla could potentially finish 1-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
43.32% (-1.001 -1) 27.73% (0.514 0.51) 28.96% (0.489 0.49)
Both teams to score 46.79% (-1.171 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.34% (-1.626 -1.63)58.66% (1.627 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.79% (-1.282 -1.28)79.2% (1.282 1.28)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-1.261 -1.26)26.85% (1.262 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (-1.689 -1.69)62.16% (1.69 1.69)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97% (-0.491 -0.49)36.02% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19% (-0.503 -0.5)72.8% (0.504 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 43.31%
    Celta Vigo 28.96%
    Draw 27.72%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.67% (0.581 0.58)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.468 0.47)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 28.96%

How you voted: Valencia vs Celta Vigo

Valencia
66.2%
Draw
22.1%
Celta Vigo
11.8%
136
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 4.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vallejo (90+4'), Gameiro (90+8')
Kang-in (56'), Gaya (62')

Nolito (14'), Mina (31'), Tapia (53')
Blanco (64')
Sep 19, 2020 8pm
Celta Vigo
2-1
Valencia
Aspas (13', 57')
Tapia (25'), Yokuslu (90+2'), Villar (90+7')
Gomez (46')
Esquerdo (55')
Feb 1, 2020 8pm
Valencia
1-0
Celta Vigo
Soler (77')
Paulista (20'), Wass (33'), Florenzi (50'), Gomez (80'), Coquelin (90'), Domenech (90')

Vazquez (40'), Rafinha (65'), Sisto (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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