Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Valencia |
38.81% | 27.92% | 33.27% |
Both teams to score 47.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.84% | 58.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.18% | 78.82% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.89% | 29.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.96% | 65.04% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% | 32.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% | 69.15% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.65% Total : 38.81% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |