Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.8%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Elche |
70.32% ( 0.02) | 19.09% ( -0.02) | 10.59% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 41.52% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.62% ( 0.06) | 49.38% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.58% ( 0.06) | 71.42% ( -0.06) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.16% ( 0.03) | 12.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.8% ( 0.05) | 39.2% ( -0.05) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.63% ( 0.04) | 52.36% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.76% ( 0.03) | 86.24% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Elche |
2-0 @ 14.16% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.8% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 70.32% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.94% Total : 10.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |