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Championship header 2

League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Port Vale

Collins (87')
Coutts (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Politic (63'), Butterworth (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Port Vale
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Port Vale

 With both sides being in similar veins of form, we think this will be a tightly-contested affair. However, Port Vale ended Plymouth's 100% home record last time out, so we fancy them to continue their good form here and make it three consecutive wins in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
42.4% (0.571 0.57) 25.75% (-0.148 -0.15) 31.84% (-0.423 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.07% (0.322 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (0.48699999999999 0.49)49.94% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (0.434 0.43)71.93% (-0.43299999999999 -0.43)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (0.498 0.5)23.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.716 0.72)57.38% (-0.717 -0.72)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)29.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.4% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 42.4%
    Port Vale 31.84%
    Draw 25.75%
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.84%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
47.6%
Draw
26.2%
Port Vale
26.2%
42
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
1-3
Bristol Rovers
Proctor (2')
Hall (47'), Benning (49')
Anderson (10'), Connolly (32'), Loft (90+4')
Taylor (8'), Anderson (22'), Coutts (45'), Grant (51'), Finley (77'), Anderson (90+5')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Port Vale
Collins (56')
Whelan (86'), Pitman (90+5')
Finley (15'), Harries (77')
Garrity (31', 33')
Jones (58'), Politic (60')
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke (16'), Nichols (62' pen.), Rodman (68')
Clarke (22'), Rodman (45')

Hannant (45'), Conlon (54')
Conlon (58')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Harris (54' og.)
Knops (80'), Pugh (91')
Bodin (78')
Sweeney (41'), Harris (42'), Harrison (45')
Sep 24, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Port Vale
Harrison (44'), Easter (63' pen.)
Sinclair (87')
Paterson (23')
Thomas (41'), Streete (60'), Paterson (61'), Jones (65'), Brown (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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