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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Exeter City

Shrewsbury
0 - 3
Exeter


Sraha (5'), Bayliss (42'), Benning (42')
Shipley (6')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Aimson (33'), Harris (41'), Aitchison (45+5')
Harper (27'), Cole (29'), Eisa (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Bolton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Exeter City

For all of Shrewsbury's attacking shortcomings on home soil, Exeter arrive at Montgomery Waters Meadow with just one clean sheet from their last 14 away games and have often struggled to shut out their hosts on Salop soil. Jellied legs from the weekend could also hamper the flow of both sides, and in a contest as tight as the table would suggest, we can only envisage a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
38.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 26.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 34.98% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)53.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)75.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (0.036999999999992 0.04)27.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (0.045999999999999 0.05)62.74% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)29.22% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)65.17% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 38.2%
    Exeter City 34.98%
    Draw 26.8%
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.72% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.2%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.98%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Exeter

Shrewsbury Town
52.2%
Draw
34.8%
Exeter City
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
0-0
Shrewsbury
Sweeney (50'), Cole (69')
Shipley (18')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Shrewsbury
3-2
Exeter
Pennington (22'), Bayliss (34'), Dunkley (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Grounds (20')
Apr 11, 2015 3pm
Nov 22, 2014 3pm
Exeter
3-2
Shrewsbury
Nichols (46', 91'), Wheeler (75')
Grimes (61'), Cummins (77'), Wheeler (96')
Collins (13', 34')
Lawrence (29'), Grimmer (65'), Knight-Percival (70'), Goldson (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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