MX23RW : Monday, May 20 11:10:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion

AZ
4 - 1
Almere City

Pavlidis (7', 90+2'), de Wit (66'), Moller Wolfe (80')
Moller Wolfe (88'), Clasie (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mbe Soh (56')
van Bruggen (23'), Jacobs (64'), Resink (73'), Kitala (81'), Floranus (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Nijmegen
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Almere City
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Almere City

AZ Alkmaar hit a bump in the road last time out, but we can see them serving up an immediate response with a comfortable win this time around, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 80.65%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAlmere City
80.65% (-0.155 -0.16) 12.99% (0.131 0.13) 6.37% (0.0261 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.42% (-0.39 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.12% (-0.57199999999999 -0.57)35.88% (0.575 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.03% (-0.634 -0.63)57.97% (0.637 0.64)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.11% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)6.89% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.68% (-0.408 -0.41)25.33% (0.412 0.41)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.63% (-0.342 -0.34)53.37% (0.344 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.12% (-0.216 -0.22)86.88% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 80.64%
    Almere City 6.37%
    Draw 12.99%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAlmere City
2-0 @ 13.15% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 11.73% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.199 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.93% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 4.2% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.87% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 80.64%
1-1 @ 6.18% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.59% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 12.99%
0-1 @ 2.31% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 6.37%

How you voted: AZ vs Almere City

AZ Alkmaar
100%
Draw
0.0%
Almere City
0.0%
16
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!