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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Nov 1, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
MAPFRE Stadium
Atlanta United

Columbus Crew
2 - 0
Atlanta

Camilo Hernandez (45+1', 51' pen.)
Camacho (78'), Rossi (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Muyumba (25'), Robinson (71'), Thiare (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Montreal
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-0 Atlanta United

A lot of the scoring chances for Atlanta this season filtered through Almada, and without him, it is difficult to see who can step in and fill his big shoes. Columbus have plenty of dependable attacking pieces and should have their share of the ball and opportunities on Wednesday, and they do not often miss the chances presented to them.

How to watch

You can watch Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 20.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawAtlanta United
59.12% (0.888 0.89) 20.47% (0.183 0.18) 20.41% (-1.07 -1.07)
Both teams to score 61.1% (-2.457 -2.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.33% (-2.431 -2.43)35.66% (2.432 2.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.27% (-2.738 -2.74)57.73% (2.737 2.74)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15% (-0.517 -0.52)11.85% (0.518 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.87% (-1.113 -1.11)37.13% (1.113 1.11)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31% (-2.367 -2.37)30.69% (2.368 2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06% (-2.888 -2.89)66.94% (2.889 2.89)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 59.12%
    Atlanta United 20.41%
    Draw 20.47%
Columbus CrewDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.172 0.17)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.663 0.66)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.767 0.77)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.358 0.36)
3-2 @ 4.1% (-0.291 -0.29)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.14% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.205 -0.21)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.028 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 59.12%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.345 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.284 -0.28)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.427 0.43)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.233 -0.23)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.274 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 20.41%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Atlanta

Columbus Crew
66.7%
Draw
12.1%
Atlanta United
21.2%
33
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Columbus Crew
6-1
Atlanta
Morris (14'), Ramirez (47', 64'), Quinton (51'), Russell-Rowe (68'), Arfsten (90+1')
Lennon (71')
Aug 21, 2022 11.48pm
Columbus Crew
2-2
Atlanta
Camilo Hernandez (66', 72')
Artur (31'), Etienne (51'), Mensah (82')
Sosa (21'), Sanchez (77')
Sosa (69'), Mosquera (80')
May 29, 2022 12am
Atlanta
1-2
Columbus Crew
Moreno (45+5'), Ibarra (45+10'), Franco (89'), Dwyer (90+3')
Almada (90+7')
Sands (61')
Aug 8, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 23
Columbus Crew
2-3
Atlanta
Mensah (37'), Santos (90+1' pen.)
Room (90+7')
Barco (5', 35'), Moreno (65' pen.)
Sosa (45+3'), Walkes (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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