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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Atlanta United

Philadelphia
3 - 2
Atlanta

Gazdag (39'), Uhre (41'), Carranza (45+3')
Elliott (34'), Sullivan (66'), Andres Martinez (75'), Harriel (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Almada (56' pen.), Mosquera (77')
Thiare (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Atlanta United

 Philadelphia Union have drawn their last five MLS games, and the spoils have been shared in each of Atlanta United's last two away matches. Given that the two sides are separated by just two points in the table, they are clearly evenly-matched, and we expect a draw this Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
55.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 21.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (0.017000000000003 0.02)43.87% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (0.017000000000003 0.02)66.26% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)15.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.026000000000003 0.03)44.43% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)34.36% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 55.96%
    Atlanta United 21.49%
    Draw 22.55%
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Atlanta

Philadelphia Union
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Atlanta United
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 9pm
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 8.30pm
Atlanta
0-0
Philadelphia
> Preview
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Philadelphia
1-0
Atlanta
Przybylko (71')
Andres Martinez (39')

Moreno (31')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Atlanta
2-2
Philadelphia
Przybylko (58' og.), Walkes (83')
Lopez (76')
Burke (84'), Glesnes (90+3')
Bedoya (30'), Flach (41'), Fontana (53'), Glesnes (60'), Monteiro (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
> Full Version


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