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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Mainz logo

Frankfurt
3 - 0
Mainz

Kamada (18' pen.), Buta (40'), Kolo (59')
Tuta (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bell (22'), Hanche-Olsen (38'), Shabani (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 2-3 Schalke
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Mainz 05

 Neither side head into this fixture in the greatest form across recent weeks, with only outside hopes of qualifying for Europe providing any real motivation for both sets of players. Although Frankfurt arguably have greater individual quality, their league campaign has completely run out of steam, meaning that we can envisage a share of the spoils with Mainz on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
52.08% (0.78400000000001 0.78) 23.51% (-0.221 -0.22) 24.41% (-0.562 -0.56)
Both teams to score 55.98% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (0.453 0.45)44.93% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.72% (0.43300000000001 0.43)67.28% (-0.43199999999999 -0.43)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (0.462 0.46)17.26% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (0.804 0.8)47.57% (-0.803 -0.8)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65% (-0.22500000000001 -0.23)32.34% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (-0.254 -0.25)68.85% (0.255 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 52.08%
    Mainz 05 24.41%
    Draw 23.5%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.08%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 24.41%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Mainz

Eintracht Frankfurt
52.6%
Draw
31.6%
Mainz 05
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 15
Mainz
1-1
Frankfurt
Burkardt (40')
Kolo (67')
Tuta (38')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 34
Mainz
2-2
Frankfurt
Ingvartsen (10', 49')
Caricol (51'), Bell (56')
Tuta (26'), Borre (35')
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 17
Frankfurt
1-0
Mainz
Lindstrom (35')

Caricol (90+2')
> Preview
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 32
Frankfurt
1-1
Mainz
Hrustic (86')
Kostic (30'), Hrustic (49')
Onisiwo (11')
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 15
Mainz
0-2
Frankfurt

Niakhate (22'), Quaison (43')
Silva (24' pen., 72')
Hasebe (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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