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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.48%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 0-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
21.22% ( 0) | 20.3% ( 0) | 58.48% |
Both teams to score 63.08% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.33% ( -0) | 33.67% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.51% ( -0) | 55.49% ( 0.01) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% ( -0) | 28.8% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% ( -0) | 64.65% ( 0.01) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.6% | 11.41% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.83% ( -0) | 36.17% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 5.53% 1-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.22% Total : 21.22% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.97% 0-3 @ 5.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.34% 1-4 @ 3.79% 0-4 @ 3.04% 2-4 @ 2.36% 1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.32% 2-5 @ 1.02% 3-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.91% Total : 58.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |