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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Cardiff City |
46.46% ( -1.62) | 25.59% ( -0.11) | 27.95% ( 1.73) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( 1.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.97% ( 1.53) | 51.03% ( -1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.1% ( 1.33) | 72.89% ( -1.33) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% ( -0.08) | 21.95% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.76% ( -0.13) | 55.24% ( 0.13) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.25% ( 2.19) | 32.75% ( -2.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.69% ( 2.38) | 69.31% ( -2.38) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.71) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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