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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
The Hawthorns
Leeds logo

West Brom
1 - 0
Leeds

Diangana (37')
Kipre (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gruev (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Leeds
Tuesday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-2 Leeds United

West Brom were able to control a Norwich side who looked to camp in with 10 men on Boxing Day, but Leeds will pose a different challenge in this one. The Whites will be desperate to respond following an off day at Preston, and we feel that Farke's men will share the spoils at The Hawthorns after an exciting contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawLeeds United
41.37% (-0.131 -0.13) 25.38% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 33.25% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.79% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.117 -0.12)47.94% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (-0.107 -0.11)70.11% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)23.03% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (-0.169 -0.17)56.84% (0.17 0.17)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.52% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 41.37%
    Leeds United 33.25%
    Draw 25.38%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: West Brom vs Leeds

West Bromwich Albion
27.1%
Draw
16.9%
Leeds United
55.9%
59
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Leeds
1-1
West Brom
Ayling (72')
Gelhardt (15'), Shackleton (55'), James (61'), Struijk (78')
Thomas-Asante (52')
Furlong (9'), Molumby (29'), Phillips (56'), Pieters (71'), Yokuslu (85')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
3-1
West Brom
Rodrigo (17'), Phillips (42'), Bamford (79' pen.)
Cooper (1'), Phillips (90+4')
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 16
West Brom
0-5
Leeds
Sawyers (9' og.), Alioski (31'), Harrison (36'), Rodrigo (40'), Raphinha (72')
Alioski (41')
Jan 1, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 26
West Brom
1-1
Leeds
Ajayi (2')
Krovinovic (40'), Bartley (72')
Ajayi (52' og.)
Cooper (67'), Ayling (70'), Costa (87')
Oct 1, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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