MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 23:49:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Monaco

Auxerre
2 - 3
Monaco

Niang (30' pen.), Fofana (68' og.)
Jeanvier (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ben Yedder (45+3' pen.), Ben Seghir (58', 85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Auxerre
Sunday, November 13 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Leeds 2-4 Monaco
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Auxerre 0-1 Monaco

Monaco look a lot more compact on the road than they do at Stade Louis II, and their creativity in the midfield, along with some in-form strikers, should make it difficult for Auxerre to get a foothold in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawMonaco
29.46% (2.752 2.75) 24.79% (0.205 0.21) 45.75% (-2.963 -2.96)
Both teams to score 56.06% (1.34 1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (0.83300000000001 0.83)46.81% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (0.775 0.77)69.06% (-0.78 -0.78)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (2.471 2.47)29.45% (-2.476 -2.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (2.92 2.92)65.46% (-2.925 -2.93)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.92 -0.92)20.52% (0.916 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (-1.474 -1.47)53.02% (1.469 1.47)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 29.46%
    Monaco 45.75%
    Draw 24.78%
AuxerreDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.241 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.504 0.5)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.436 0.44)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.384 0.38)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.246 0.25)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.287 0.29)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 29.46%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.247 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.627 -0.63)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.58% (-0.729 -0.73)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.75%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Monaco

Auxerre
7.1%
Draw
11.9%
Monaco
81.0%
84
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!