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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Marseille

Lille
2 - 0
Marseille

David (90', 90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMarseille
46.03%28.03%25.93%
Both teams to score 44.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86%61.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9%81.09%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39%26.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16%61.84%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08%39.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42%76.57%
Score Analysis
    Lille 46.03%
    Marseille 25.93%
    Draw 28.03%
LilleDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 14.06%
2-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 8.55%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 46.03%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Lille vs Marseille

Lille
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Marseille
4.2%
72
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 4
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')
Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')
Feb 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
1-2
Marseille
Osimhen (51')
Mandava (66' og.), Benedetto (69')
Caleta-Car (9'), Amavi (30'), Benedetto (35'), Strootman (90'), Ake (90')
Nov 2, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Marseille
2-1
Lille
Sanson (47'), Gabriel (79' og.)
Amavi (83')
Soumaoro (83')
Djalo (23'), Ikone (33'), Osimhen (83')
Jan 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-2
Lille
Balotelli (90')
Kamara (18'), Gustavo (45'), Strootman (45'), Radonjic (73'), Rolando (90')
Thauvin (67')
Pepe (45' pen., 90')
Soumaoro (50'), Leao (66'), Xeka (70')
Sep 30, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 8
Lille
3-0
Marseille
Pepe (65' pen.), Bamba (86' pen., 89')
Xeka (18')

Ocampos (17'), Mandanda (63'), Gustavo (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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