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Lille
Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 18, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Ajax

Lille
1 - 2
Ajax

Weah (72')
Celik (17'), Yazici (40'), Maignan (88'), Sanches (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tadic (87' pen.), Brobbey (89')
Alvarez (12'), Blind (66'), Rensch (77'), Brobbey (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lille and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
LilleDrawAjax
33.46%24.84%41.7%
Both teams to score 57.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.54%45.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21%67.79%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8%26.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71%61.28%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2%21.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45%55%
Score Analysis
    Lille 33.46%
    Ajax 41.7%
    Draw 24.84%
LilleDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.81%
1-0 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.66%
3-0 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 33.46%
1-1 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-1 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 4.51%
0-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 3.02%
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.7%

How you voted: Lille vs Ajax

Lille
49.4%
Draw
14.7%
Ajax
35.8%
265
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Lille
0-2
Ajax
Sep 17, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Ajax
3-0
Lille
rhs 2.0
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