Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
41.41% ( 2.64) | 23.91% ( 0.4) | 34.68% ( -3.04) |
Both teams to score 61.42% ( -1.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.23% ( -2.34) | 40.76% ( 2.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.85% ( -2.44) | 63.15% ( 2.44) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% ( 0.21) | 19.94% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% ( 0.33) | 52.09% ( -0.34) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.72% ( -2.63) | 23.28% ( 2.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.79% ( -3.98) | 57.21% ( 3.98) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.5) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.31) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |