Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Marseille |
18.09% ( -0.4) | 22.66% ( -0.27) | 59.26% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 49.53% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% ( 0.53) | 48.99% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.93% ( 0.48) | 71.07% ( -0.48) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.09% ( -0.14) | 40.91% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.52% ( -0.13) | 77.48% ( 0.13) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.82% ( 0.42) | 16.18% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.36% ( 0.75) | 45.64% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 18.09% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 10.98% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.67% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 59.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 23 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 20 |
3 | Marseille | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
4 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 17 |
5 | Lens | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 14 |
6 | Lyon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Nice | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 13 |
10 | Brest | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 13 |
11 | Rennes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 11 |
12 | NantesNantes | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
13 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 10 |
14 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 9 |
15 | Angers | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 6 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 29 | -21 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |