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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lorient logo

Marseille
3 - 1
Lorient

Kolasinac (38'), Sanchez (53'), Veretout (59')
Under (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moffi (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 2-2 Monaco
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-1 Lorient

 We expect a closely-fought affair at Stade Velodrome on Saturday, but the hosts should have just about enough to squeeze out a sixth successive league win. Lorient possess more than enough firepower to score against Tudor's side, but Marseille are a settled unit at present and will have vociferous support on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLorient
63.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 20.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 16.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.6%64.4% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5%12.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)39.25% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 63.75%
    Lorient 16.02%
    Draw 20.22%
MarseilleDrawLorient
2-0 @ 10.6%
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.88%
4-0 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.22%
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 63.75%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.22%
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.02%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lorient

Marseille
83.0%
Draw
9.4%
Lorient
7.5%
53
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 4.05pm
Lorient
0-3
Marseille

Lemoine (56')
Dieng (39'), Guendouzi (48'), Gerson (67')
Saliba (65')
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
4-1
Lorient
Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Lorient
1-4
Marseille
Moukandjo (73')
Toure (6'), Peybernes (47')
Rolando (7'), Payet (19'), Thauvin (53'), Sanson (56')
Vainqueur (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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