Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
48.81% ( -0.49) | 25.74% ( 0.14) | 25.45% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.71% ( -0.29) | 53.28% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.16% ( -0.25) | 74.84% ( 0.25) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.15% ( -0.33) | 21.85% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.92% ( -0.51) | 55.08% ( 0.51) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.01% ( 0.14) | 35.99% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.23% ( 0.15) | 72.77% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |