MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 08:23:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Nice

Lyon
1 - 1
Nice

Lacazette (89' pen.)
Tagliafico (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pepe (38' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Brest
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 1-0 Nice

Nice may be in better form at the moment, however, only two of their last six league matches have been against teams in the top half of the table (Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient). On the opposite side, Lyon have kept their matches close of late, with their last eight fixtures being decided by a goal or fewer, and we believe the quality of Lacazette and Dembele will be enough to earn them three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawNice
60.26% (-0.111 -0.11) 21.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 18.41% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.42% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22% (-0.124 -0.12)42.77% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82% (-0.123 -0.12)65.18% (0.123 0.12)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)13.77% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.92% (-0.146 -0.15)41.08% (0.146 0.15)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)73.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 60.26%
    Nice 18.41%
    Draw 21.32%
LyonDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.58% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 60.26%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.07% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.01% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 18.41%

How you voted: Lyon vs Nice

Lyon
57.8%
Draw
22.5%
Nice
19.6%
102
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Dembele (8' pen.), Toko Ekambi (52')

Todibo (50')
Oct 24, 2021 12pm
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Atal (81'), Delort (89' pen.), Guessand (90+1')
Guessand (90+2')
Toko Ekambi (35'), Aouar (68')
Kadewere (85')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Lyon
2-3
Nice
Toko Ekambi (14', 40')
Marcelo (56')
Dolberg (27'), Kamara (50'), Saliba (57')
Thuram (45+1'), Todibo (65')
Dec 19, 2020 8pm
Nice
1-4
Lyon
Gouiri (44')
Thuram (57')
Depay (32' pen.), Kadewere (39'), Toko Ekambi (63'), Aouar (73')
Cornet (66')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
Nice
2-1
Lyon
Dolberg (33', 64')
Ounas (38'), Claude Maurice (45'), Herelle (71')
Ounas (45')
Toko Ekambi (45')
Antonio Guedes Filho (45'), Da Silva (52')
Marcal (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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