Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Brest |
59.31% ( 0.01) | 22.34% ( -0) | 18.36% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.02% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% ( 0.01) | 47.25% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% ( 0.01) | 69.48% ( -0.01) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.44% ( 0.01) | 15.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.49% ( 0.01) | 44.51% ( -0.01) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.42% ( 0) | 39.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.73% ( 0) | 76.27% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 59.29% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.14% Total : 18.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |