Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Strasbourg |
42.16% | 27.32% | 30.52% |
Both teams to score 48.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.38% | 56.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.41% | 77.59% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.48% | 26.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.29% | 61.71% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.25% | 33.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.59% | 70.41% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |