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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
AC Ajaccio

Nantes
2 - 2
Ajaccio

Blas (70'), Simon (89')
Blas (37'), Castelletto (45+1'), Girotto (62'), Kombouare (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Belaili (57' pen.), Hamouma (66')
Kone (35'), Nouri (45+1'), Gonzalez (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-0 Nantes
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 4-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 2-1 Ajaccio

Following their impressive win last weekend, we are expecting Ajaccio to come into this one with confidence and to at least get on the scoresheet in an important relegation battle. Nonetheless, given they have suffered just one defeat at home this season, Nantes should have too much for their newly-promoted visitors as they record just their third win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawAjaccio
39.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 28.16% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 32.22%
Both teams to score 46.83% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.77% (0.061999999999998 0.06)59.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (0.047000000000001 0.05)79.65% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.040999999999997 0.04)29.17% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)65.11% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.033000000000001 0.03)33.89% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)70.56% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 39.61%
    Ajaccio 32.22%
    Draw 28.16%
NantesDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.89% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.22%

How you voted: Nantes vs Ajaccio

Nantes
76.6%
Draw
17.0%
Ajaccio
6.4%
47
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2014 7pm
Nantes
2-2
Ajaccio
Gakpe (8'), Djordjevic (75')
Mostefa (5'), Diarra (92')
Faty (45'), Goncalves (62'), Nadeau (77')
Oct 19, 2013 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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