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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Lorient logo

Nantes
1 - 0
Lorient

Blas (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 1-1 Nantes (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Lens (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in Coupe de France

We said: Nantes 0-0 Lorient

With a big European match upcoming, we expect Kombouare will want to give his starters a little playing time but not much so as not to risk an injury. Therefore, we expect La Maison Jaune to be pragmatic in their approach this weekend and hang back defensively, while containing the Lorient attack should not be a problem for them as Les Merlus have not shown much quality in front of goal lately. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match.

Result
NantesDrawLorient
43.39% (-1.536 -1.54) 25.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 31.37% (1.554 1.55)
Both teams to score 55.57% (0.84 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (0.741 0.74)47.9% (-0.739 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.92% (0.678 0.68)70.08% (-0.676 -0.68)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.395 -0.39)22.04% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.603 -0.6)55.37% (0.604 0.6)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (1.432 1.43)28.71% (-1.431 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (1.754 1.75)64.54% (-1.752 -1.75)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 43.39%
    Lorient 31.37%
    Draw 25.23%
NantesDrawLorient
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.415 -0.41)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.405 -0.4)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.272 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.236 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.23 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.148 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.174 0.17)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lorient

Nantes
56.9%
Draw
19.6%
Lorient
23.5%
51
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Lorient
3-2
Nantes
Ouattara (19'), Cathline (60'), Kone (74')
Ganago (13'), Simon (85')
Simon (40')
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Nantes
4-2
Lorient
Girotto (39'), Kolo (53'), Bukari (69'), Geubbels (86')
Moutoussamy (45+1'), Da Silva (77'), Appiah (83')
Moffi (56'), Soumano (85')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Mar 21, 2021 2pm
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Lorient
0-2
Nantes

Abergel (18'), Lauriente (19'), Morel (82')
Bamba (80'), Blas (83')
Louza (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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