Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Metz |
40.89% | 28.14% | 30.97% |
Both teams to score 46.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.56% | 59.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.19% | 79.8% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% | 28.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% | 64.32% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.09% | 34.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.35% | 71.65% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.16% Total : 30.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |