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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Troyes

Nantes
2 - 2
Troyes

Pallois (25'), Guessand (90+6')
Centonze (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Balde (64' pen.), Odobert (90+2')
Agoume (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Troyes
Sunday, April 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-0 Troyes

Nantes are in awful league form and have a huge distraction on their minds with the cup final to come, but are arguably facing the perfect opponents right now. Troyes have drawn a blank in six of their last seven Ligue 1 fixtures against Nantes, and with senior players seemingly giving up the ghost, ESTAC's fate seems settled. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawTroyes
52.74% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 24.21% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 23.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 52.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75% (0.028999999999996 0.03)49.25% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (0.026 0.03)71.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (0.013000000000005 0.01)18.63% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.07% (0.024000000000001 0.02)49.93% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)35.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (0.016999999999999 0.02)72.69% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 52.74%
    Troyes 23.04%
    Draw 24.21%
NantesDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.74%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.21%
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 23.04%

How you voted: Nantes vs Troyes

Nantes
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Troyes
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 2pm
Mar 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 28
Troyes
1-0
Nantes
Ugbo (43')
Conte (47')

Simon (63')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
gameweek 9
Nantes
2-0
Troyes
Girotto (58'), Blas (69' pen.)
Castelletto (45+1'), Chirivella (90+1')

Rodrigues (66'), Chadli (83')
Mar 10, 2018 7pm
Aug 19, 2017 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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