Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.2%. A draw has a probability of 17.8% and a win for Toulouse has a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.1%) and 3-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Toulouse win it is 1-2 (4.2%).
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
67.2% ( -1.32) | 17.85% ( 0.7) | 14.94% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 59.26% ( -1.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.15% ( -2.16) | 32.85% ( 2.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.45% ( -2.53) | 54.55% ( 2.53) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.97% ( -0.85) | 9.03% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.26% ( -2.08) | 30.74% ( 2.08) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.15% ( -0.65) | 34.85% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.41% ( -0.69) | 71.58% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.56) 3-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.18) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.15) Other @ 4.97% Total : 67.2% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.85% | 1-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 14.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |