Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.17%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Bordeaux |
70.15% | 18.93% | 10.92% |
Both teams to score 43.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.13% | 47.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.94% | 70.06% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.55% | 12.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.62% | 38.38% |
Bordeaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.21% | 50.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.8% | 85.2% |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Bordeaux |
2-0 @ 13.72% 1-0 @ 13.17% 3-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 6.46% 4-0 @ 4.97% 4-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.19% 5-0 @ 2.07% 5-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.83% Total : 70.14% | 1-1 @ 8.92% 0-0 @ 6.32% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.93% | 0-1 @ 4.28% 1-2 @ 3.02% 0-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.16% Total : 10.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |