Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Lille |
42.88% ( 3.97) | 25.21% ( -0.37) | 31.91% ( -3.6) |
Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.4% ( 0.8) | 47.6% ( -0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.2% ( 0.73) | 69.8% ( -0.73) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% ( 2.34) | 22.16% ( -2.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% ( 3.4) | 55.55% ( -3.4) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% ( -1.83) | 28.21% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.09% ( -2.37) | 63.9% ( 2.37) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.52) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.57) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.7) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.73) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.44) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |