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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
DC United

Atlanta
2 - 3
DC United

Almada (16' pen.), Peltola (48' og.)
Slisz (30'), Almada (45+2'), Giakoumakis (70'), Abram (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Benteke (19', 44', 55')
Dajome (38'), Antley (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 DC United

 Both teams are quite evenly matched heading into this weekend and that should lead to a competitive and closely contested match. With little between them in the league and with their recent form, it would not be a surprise to see them share the points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
65.12% (5.832 5.83) 19.27% (-1.931 -1.93) 15.61% (-3.895 -3.9)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-1.304 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.65% (2.126 2.13)38.35% (-2.12 -2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.37% (2.222 2.22)60.63% (-2.216 -2.22)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95% (2.274 2.27)11.05% (-2.269 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.6% (4.784 4.78)35.4% (-4.778 -4.78)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (-3.143 -3.14)37.51% (3.149 3.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (-3.22 -3.22)74.3% (3.224 3.22)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 65.12%
    DC United 15.61%
    Draw 19.27%
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.749 0.75)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.38% (1.133 1.13)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.564 0.56)
4-0 @ 4.07% (0.917 0.92)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.622 0.62)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.158 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.521 0.52)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.4 0.4)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 65.12%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.903 -0.9)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.472 -0.47)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.432 -0.43)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.27%
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.875 -0.88)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.825 -0.82)
0-2 @ 1.99% (-0.619 -0.62)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.439 -0.44)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.61%

How you voted: Atlanta vs DC United

Atlanta United
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
DC United
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
DC United
1-1
Atlanta
Pirani (80')
Benteke (85'), Rodrigo Asad (88')
Lobzhanidze (14')
Fortune (61'), Mosquera (77'), Silva (89')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
3-1
DC United
Giakoumakis (13'), Gutman (49'), Wolff (73')
Fortune (41'), Pineda (42'), Giakoumakis (83')
Fountas (27')
Pines (51'), Birnbaum (69'), Klich (89')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 9pm
Atlanta
3-2
DC United
Franco (49'), Martinez (62'), Sanchez (70')
Sanchez (18')
Morrison (47'), Kamara (55')
Rooney (45+3')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-1
Atlanta
Canouse (34'), Djeffal (38')
Campbell (33'), Conway (81'), Almada (89')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Atlanta
3-2
DC United
Barco (18'), Martinez (64'), Bello (87')
Franco (65'), Araujo (81')
Felipe (75'), Flores (90+4')
Brillant (27'), Moreno (34'), Paredes (50'), Alfaro (77')
> Preview
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami29196467432463
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati29174850371355
3Columbus Crew28158554282653
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls29101364537843
5Orlando City29127104741643
6New York City FCNY City29117114242040
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC29108113233-138
8Toronto30113163853-1536
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2989125347633
10DC United2989124457-1333
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2988133842-432
12Nashville SCNashville2988132944-1532
13CF MontrealMontreal29710123961-2231
14Chicago Fire3078153652-1629
15New England RevolutionNew England2884163256-2428

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy30167759441555
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake29148757421550
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles28147751371449
4Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
5Colorado RapidsColorado29145105650647
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver28137847361146
7Houston DynamoHouston2912984233945
8Portland TimbersPortland291271060501043
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd29116124848039
10Austin FCAustin2998123241-935
11Dallas2997134648-234
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3087154956-731
13St Louis City29513114156-1528
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2953213667-3118
> Full Version


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