Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
56.7% ( 0.06) | 21.73% ( -0) | 21.57% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.37% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.93% ( -0.07) | 40.07% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.57% ( -0.07) | 62.43% ( 0.07) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.02% ( -0) | 13.98% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.51% ( -0.01) | 41.49% ( 0.01) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( -0.09) | 32.14% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.37% ( -0.1) | 68.62% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.18% 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 56.7% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 21.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |