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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Atlanta United

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Atlanta

Vazquez (29'), Brenner (41')
Barreal (14'), Miazga (58'), Blackett (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Almada (17'), Gutman (83')
Wiley (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Seattle
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-2 Atlanta United

As good as Atlanta have played versus Cincinnati in previous years, this is not nearly the same Orange and Blue side that we have seen in past seasons. They may still allow their share of openings on the back end, but Cincy's quality in the final third is difficult for even the most well-organised defensive units to contain, while the Five Stripes struggle away from home, without a win in their last nine road games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
42.63% (0.196 0.2) 24.97% (-0.299 -0.3) 32.4% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.91% (1.055 1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (1.356 1.36)46.35% (-1.351 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (1.265 1.27)68.64% (-1.261 -1.26)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.673 0.67)21.74% (-0.67 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (1.017 1.02)54.92% (-1.013 -1.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.73 0.73)27.28% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.939 0.94)62.72% (-0.935 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 42.63%
    Atlanta United 32.4%
    Draw 24.96%
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.63%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.4%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Atlanta

FC Cincinnati
66.7%
Draw
6.7%
Atlanta United
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati

Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')

Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
Sep 16, 2021 12am
Atlanta
4-0
Cincinnati
Araujo (5'), Martinez (40', 55'), Barco (86')
Mo (73'), Wolff (90+1')

Brenner (39'), Castillo (45'), Matarrita (54'), Vazquez (79'), Duvall (82')
Jul 22, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
1-1
Atlanta
Acosta (61')
Gyau (38'), Vallecilla (45+3'), Acosta (86')
Hernandez (70')
Sosa (64'), Hernandez (71')
Nov 2, 2020 12am
Atlanta
2-0
Cincinnati
Jahn (8'), Moreno (26' pen.)
Jahn (22')

Amaya (45+3'), Gutman (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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