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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Orlando City

Atlanta
1 - 1
Orlando City

Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, July 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 Orlando City

Overall, Atlanta possesses more quality than Orlando, but the Lions have done well to neutralize opposing attacks, so we expect them to show discipline and structure against an aggressive Five Stripes team, who have not proven that they can remain consistent from one match to another. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
58.57% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 22.42% (0.02 0.02) 19% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.89% (-0.155 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (-0.159 -0.16)46.66% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.07% (-0.149 -0.15)68.93% (0.148 0.15)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)15.6% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.41% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)44.59% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-0.151 -0.15)38.51% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.145 -0.15)75.26% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 58.56%
    Orlando City 19%
    Draw 22.42%
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11.16% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.42% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 58.56%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Orlando City

Atlanta United
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Orlando City
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 12am
Atlanta
3-0
Orlando City
Campbell (25'), Dike (38' og.), Barco (72')
Franco (34'), Campbell (45+1'), Sosa (81')

Carlos (37')
Jul 31, 2021 1am
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Orlando City
4-1
Atlanta
Dike (29'), Mueller (45+2'), Akindele (60'), Mendez (90+2')
Michel (88')
Torres (87')
Meza (45+1'), Remedi (81'), Mo (90+1')
Oct 8, 2020 12am
Atlanta
0-0
Orlando City

Escobar (36'), Mo (50'), Robinson (90')

Miller (77'), Schlegel (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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