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Major League Soccer
Jul 3, 2022 at 10pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Atlanta United

NY City
2 - 2
Atlanta

Castellanos (37', 58')
Chanot (18'), Rodriguez (24'), Magno (53'), Morales (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (56'), Dwyer (86')
McFadden (16'), Araujo (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 4-4 NY City
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Atlanta United

As hard as Atlanta have fought to stay competitive, it seems as though the amount of injuries have taken a toll on them, and their body language shows a team that look demoralised, which rarely equates to positive results. When the defending champions are given even a slight opening, they will make you pay, and the Pigeons should be able to find a breakthrough eventually this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawAtlanta United
62.62% (0.288 0.29) 20.12% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 17.25% (-0.262 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.27% (-0.476 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77% (-0.363 -0.36)39.22% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.44% (-0.38 -0.38)61.55% (0.381 0.38)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)11.98% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.59% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)37.4% (0.067 0.07)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (-0.517 -0.52)36.07% (0.518 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15% (-0.532 -0.53)72.85% (0.53200000000001 0.53)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 62.62%
    Atlanta United 17.25%
    Draw 20.12%
New York City FCDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.141 0.14)
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.88% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.65% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 62.62%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.12%
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 17.25%

How you voted: NY City vs Atlanta

New York City FC
86.1%
Draw
8.3%
Atlanta United
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 8pm
NY City
2-0
Atlanta
Castellanos (49'), Callens (53')

Franco (43'), Moreno (81')
Franco (90+3')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Atlanta
1-1
NY City
Moreno (17')
Franco (60'), Robinson (85')
Thorarinsson (90')
Moralez (24'), Sands (90+4')
Jun 24, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Atlanta
Tajouri (69')

Sosa (12'), Barco (45'), Lopez (55')
Aug 1, 2020 8pm
Jun 18, 2020 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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