All season the Galaxy have looked unorganised defensively but have found a way to climb back into matches plenty of times, and they are getting contributions from numerous sources, which is why we believe they will get the better of Austin, who still seem to rely heavily on Driussi.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.