Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Chicago Fire |
51.38% ( 0.98) | 22.48% ( -0.28) | 26.14% ( -0.7) |
Both teams to score 61.4% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.41% ( 0.72) | 38.59% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.11% ( 0.76) | 60.89% ( -0.76) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.8% ( 0.6) | 15.2% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.16% ( 1.12) | 43.83% ( -1.12) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.4% ( -0.13) | 27.59% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.88% ( -0.17) | 63.12% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.38% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |