Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlotte FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
50.98% ( -1.59) | 23.78% ( 0.36) | 25.24% ( 1.24) |
Both teams to score 55.99% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.67% ( -0.44) | 45.34% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.33% ( -0.42) | 67.67% ( 0.42) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.18% ( -0.75) | 17.82% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.44% ( -1.32) | 48.56% ( 1.33) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.13% ( 0.79) | 31.87% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% ( 0.9) | 68.32% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Charlotte FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.98% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |