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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Park
Philadelphia Union

Chicago Fire
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Haile-Selassie (19'), Harriel (47' og.)
Herbers (66'), Gimenez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gazdag (62' pen.), Carranza (64')
Curtin (0'), Gazdag (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 Philadelphia Union

 Philadelphia have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late, but Chicago's home record suggests that Sunday's contest is far from a foregone conclusion. We are backing the teams to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.28% (1.758 1.76) 27.07% (-0.286 -0.29) 29.65% (-1.466 -1.47)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.205 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44% (0.565 0.56)56% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91% (0.459 0.46)77.09% (-0.453 -0.45)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (1.182 1.18)25.65% (-1.178 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (1.58 1.58)60.56% (-1.576 -1.58)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.783 -0.78)34.07% (0.786 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.852 -0.85)70.76% (0.85599999999999 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 43.28%
    Philadelphia Union 29.65%
    Draw 27.07%
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.89% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.207 0.21)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.36 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.222 0.22)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.279 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.075 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.117 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 43.28%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.414 -0.41)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 29.65%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia

Chicago Fire
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Philadelphia Union
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-0
Chicago Fire
Torres (90')
Andres Martinez (45+2'), Elliott (60'), Bedoya (74'), Torres (90+3'), Sullivan (90+6')

Teran (12'), Kamara (38'), Navarro (42'), Herbers (45+2')
Herbers (50'), Kamara (90+3')
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-1
Chicago Fire
Gazdag (16'), Elliott (37'), Carranza (53'), Burke (82')
Bedoya (28'), Burke (85'), Carranza (86'), Mbaizo (90+1')
Mueller (49')
Pineda (3'), Shaqiri (70'), Navarro (82')
Jun 30, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-0
Philadelphia
Navarro (68')
Teran (51')

Andres Martinez (29'), Bedoya (35'), Wagner (77'), Gazdag (83')
Andres Martinez (72')
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
Jun 27, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Philadelphia
Glesnes (2' og.), Sekulic (56'), Pineda (67')
Stojanovic (44'), Navarro (62'), Herbers (81')
Sullivan (28'), Burke (45+2'), Sekulic (79' og.)
Elliott (10'), Santos (34'), Wagner (52'), Powell (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
> Full Version


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