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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Russell-Rowe (68'), Farsi (90+10')
Amundsen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Herbers (72')
Arigoni (13'), Barlow (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 0-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, March 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire have failed to beat Columbus Crew in all of their last five meetings, while they have been unable to win at the hosts' home stadium since 2018. With Columbus winning four of the last five, scoring at least two in all of these victories, we believe they will go on to win this one 2-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
62.28% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08) 20.52% (0.102 0.1) 17.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.73% (-0.402 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (-0.505 -0.51)41.18% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (-0.517 -0.52)63.58% (0.518 0.52)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (-0.178 -0.18)12.68% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.14% (-0.37 -0.37)38.86% (0.373 0.37)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (-0.329 -0.33)37.32% (0.33300000000001 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.325 -0.32)74.11% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 62.28%
    Chicago Fire 17.2%
    Draw 20.52%
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 62.28%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.52%
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.2%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew
100%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Chicago Fire
Camilo Hernandez (8' pen., 16' pen., 23')

Brady (8'), Souquet (13'), Czichos (33'), Shaqiri (44'), Koutsias (72'), Przybylko (74')
Shaqiri (66')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Columbus Crew
Shaqiri (88')
Navarro (45+5'), Herbers (89')
Camilo Hernandez (59'), Zelarayan (90+3')
Amundsen (20'), Zawadzki (29'), Farsi (81'), Zelarayan (90+5')
Sep 3, 2022 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Chicago Fire
Diaz Espinoza (74')
Herbers (85'), Espinoza (90+7')
Jul 10, 2022 1am
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Columbus Crew
2-0
Chicago Fire
Zelarayan (31'), Berry (58')

Navarro (59'), Offor (62'), Espinoza (88'), Ivanov (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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