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Major League Soccer
Nov 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Los Angeles
3 - 3
Philadelphia

Acosta (27'), Murillo (83'), Bale (120+8')
Cifuentes (65'), Ibeagha (87')
Crepeau (116')
FT
(aet)
Gazdag (59'), Elliott (85', 120+4')
Carranza (90+1')
Los Angeles win 3-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Austin
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We say: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union (LAFC wins on penalties)

These are two elite-level teams who excel in similar categories. Both are capable of scoring in bunches, while the Union have a slight edge defensively, but LA have a solid defensive midfield setup. While this will be the first MLS Cup Final for either side, LA have veterans who have played on the most prominent football stages, and the experience of Bale and Chiellini, among others, could be that little extra needed to give the Black and Gold a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.08%).

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
55.88% (-1.982 -1.98) 23.06% (0.667 0.67) 21.06% (1.316 1.32)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35% (-1.138 -1.14)46.64% (1.138 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-1.076 -1.08)68.91% (1.075 1.08)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-1.071 -1.07)16.52% (1.071 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.74% (-1.966 -1.97)46.26% (1.966 1.97)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (0.694 0.69)36.35% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (0.694 0.69)73.14% (-0.694 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 55.88%
    Philadelphia Union 21.06%
    Draw 23.06%
Los Angeles FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-0 @ 2.63% (-0.271 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 55.88%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.394 0.39)
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.267 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.06%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
60.5%
Draw
26.3%
TBC
13.2%
38
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 4am
Los Angeles
2-2
Philadelphia
Opoku (56'), Escobar (82')
Palacios (76')
Gazdag (9'), Carranza (67')
Santos (83'), Elliott (90+4')
Mar 9, 2020 2.30am
Los Angeles
3-3
Philadelphia
Vela (38'), Rossi (49'), Segura (71')
Palacios (45+2')
Santos (29'), Glesnes (48'), Aaronson (69')
Gaddis (33'), Andres Martinez (43'), Bedoya (45+4'), Fontana (90+6')
Sep 15, 2019 12.30am
Jul 1, 2018 1am
Los Angeles
4-1
Philadelphia
Diomande (25', 43', 55'), Blessing (96')
Beitashour (39'), Nguyen (85')
Picault (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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