Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | CF Montreal | 28 | 9 | 49 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 9 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 6 | 39 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 40 | 57 |
2 | CF Montreal | 28 | 9 | 49 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 9 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
43.64% ( 1.36) | 26.85% ( -0.57) | 29.5% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 49.57% ( 1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.75% ( 1.81) | 55.25% ( -1.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.52% ( 1.47) | 76.48% ( -1.47) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.87% ( 1.53) | 25.13% ( -1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.16% ( 2.07) | 59.83% ( -2.07) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.21% ( 0.36) | 33.79% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.55% ( 0.39) | 70.45% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.64% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.61) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.36% Total : 29.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |