Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CF Montreal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for CF Montreal.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Charlotte FC |
58.84% ( -0.39) | 22.57% ( 0.09) | 18.59% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 50.7% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.11% ( 0.05) | 47.89% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.93% ( 0.05) | 70.07% ( -0.05) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.06% ( -0.11) | 15.94% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.79% ( -0.21) | 45.21% ( 0.21) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.31% ( 0.38) | 39.69% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.63% ( 0.34) | 76.37% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Charlotte FC |
1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.83% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |