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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Stade Saputo
Philadelphia Union

Montreal
3 - 2
Philadelphia

Quioto (3' pen., 90+8'), Offor (90')
Losada (0'), Wanyama (18'), Quioto (43'), Zouhir (43'), Offor (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Uhre (46', 60')
Glesnes (2'), Carranza (58'), Bedoya (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Montreal
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 0-1 Philadelphia Union

 Even with little time to rest for this encounter, we do not expect the Union backline to have much trouble containing a Montreal side still struggling to make that decisive final pass. Philadelphia were the top defensive unit in the league last season for a reason, they are experienced and well-organised at the back, while we believe there will be too many attacking weapons for the home team to handle this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch CF Montreal vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawPhiladelphia Union
42.9% (-0.514 -0.51) 25.76% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 31.34% (0.496 0.5)
Both teams to score 53.83% (0.169 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.83% (0.11799999999999 0.12)50.16% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.87% (0.105 0.11)72.13% (-0.107 -0.11)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)23.25% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.288 -0.29)57.17% (0.285 0.28)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.396 0.4)29.86% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.479 0.48)65.95% (-0.482 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 42.89%
    Philadelphia Union 31.34%
    Draw 25.76%
CF MontrealDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.89%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.39% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 31.34%

How you voted: Montreal vs Philadelphia

CF Montreal
27.3%
Draw
27.3%
Philadelphia Union
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Montreal
Carranza (21' pen.)
Bedoya (55'), Andres Martinez (82'), Wagner (90+1')
Kamara (59')
Waterman (61'), Miller (90'), Bassong (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 9pm
Montreal
1-2
Philadelphia
Lappalainen (32')
Kone (20'), Wanyama (23'), Zouhir (67')
Bedoya (53'), Gazdag (56')
Carranza (64')
Carranza (71')
Oct 16, 2021 6pm
Montreal
2-2
Philadelphia
Miljevic (33'), Sunusi (90+5')
Mihailovic (44'), Waterman (75')
Pantemis (63' og.), Wagner (77')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
Philadelphia
1-1
Montreal
Sullivan (87')
Mbaizo (3'), Monteiro (6')
Mihailovic (45+1')
Choiniere (44'), Miller (68'), Breza (90+4'), Kizza (90+5')
Oct 12, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
Montreal
Monteiro (39'), Santos (48')
Mbaizo (58'), Bedoya (76'), Real (90+3')
Sejdic (65')
Piette (55'), Wanyama (60'), Corrales (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110
> Full Version


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