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Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Nashville

NY City
2 - 1
Nashville

Parks (11'), Chanot (25')
Ilencic (45+4'), Jasson (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Williams (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-1 Nashville SC

The two sides are separated by just two points, having both made inconsistent starts to the MLS season, and a draw is therefore the most likely result on Saturday evening. However, if either team manages to come away with the three points, it will probably be the hosts, having gone undefeated at the Yankee Stadium so far this season.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Nashville SC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawNashville SC
51.96% (0.00099999999999767 0) 25.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 22.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 49.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (0.0049999999999955 0)53.22% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (0.004999999999999 0)74.78% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)38.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 51.95%
    Nashville SC 22.87%
    Draw 25.16%
New York City FCDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-0 @ 9.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 51.95%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.53%
1-2 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 22.87%

How you voted: NY City vs Nashville

New York City FC
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Nashville SC
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 9.30pm
Nashville
2-0
NY City
Zimmerman (34'), Shaffelburg (80')
Shaffelburg (58')

Cufre (28'), Magno (62'), Andrade (75'), Chanot (90+3')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Nashville
3-1
NY City
Williams (30', 68'), Latinovich (32' og.)
Muyl (71'), Williams (73'), Haakenson (89')
McCarty (45')
Castellanos (90')
Medina (38'), Castellanos (64'), Acevedo (73')
Moralez (45')
Apr 26, 2020 10pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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