Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
57.24% ( 2.83) | 21.66% ( -0.91) | 21.1% ( -1.92) |
Both teams to score 57.93% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.68% ( 1.81) | 40.32% ( -1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.3% ( 1.84) | 62.7% ( -1.83) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.1% ( 1.53) | 13.9% ( -1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.67% ( 2.93) | 41.33% ( -2.93) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.28% ( -0.72) | 32.72% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.73% ( -0.81) | 69.27% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.35) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.36) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.2) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.27% Total : 57.24% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.39) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.38% Total : 21.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |