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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
Atlanta United

Orlando City
1 - 1
Atlanta

Smith (30')
Carlos (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wolff (86')
Hernandez (66'), Rossetto (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-3 Atlanta
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-1 Atlanta United

Both sides are in similar veins of form, so we do not think there will be a great deal to separate the sides on Sunday. Orlando have been poor at home this season, while Atlanta are on a six-game winless run on the road, so we think the sides will share the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
42.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 25% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 32.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.68% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (-0.052 -0.05)46.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)68.87% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)21.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.88% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)27.61% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)63.14% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 42.92%
    Atlanta United 32.08%
    Draw 25%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.08%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Atlanta

Orlando City
52.9%
Draw
38.2%
Atlanta United
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 11.55pm
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
1-1
Orlando City
Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 12am
gameweek 29
Atlanta
3-0
Orlando City
Campbell (25'), Dike (38' og.), Barco (72')
Franco (34'), Campbell (45+1'), Sosa (81')

Carlos (37')
Jul 31, 2021 1am
gameweek 20
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
Apr 17, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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