Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Salt Lake | Draw | St Louis City |
64.7% ( 0.12) | 19.64% ( -0.05) | 15.66% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.32% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.96% ( 0.12) | 40.04% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.59% ( 0.12) | 62.4% ( -0.12) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.34% ( 0.07) | 11.66% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.28% ( 0.15) | 36.71% ( -0.15) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.49% ( -0.01) | 38.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.74% ( -0.01) | 75.25% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Real Salt Lake | Draw | St Louis City |
2-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 64.69% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.64% | 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |