Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
41.41% ( 0.03) | 24.42% ( -0) | 34.18% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 59.43% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.69% ( 0) | 43.31% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.29% ( 0) | 65.71% ( -0) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% ( 0.02) | 21.02% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.2% ( 0.02) | 53.8% ( -0.02) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% ( -0.01) | 24.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.69% ( -0.02) | 59.31% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
6 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 16 |
8 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 12 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 7 |