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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Ebobisse (2'), Rodrigues (15')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Arango (44')
Vera (13'), Arango (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Colorado
Sunday, September 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt Lake

San Jose need to start picking up regular wins to secure their place in the playoffs, but recent form suggests they are set to struggle on Saturday evening. Salt Lake will be feeling better about themselves after beating basement dwellers Colorado last time out, and we are expecting Mastroeni's side to make it back-to-back wins this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Real Salt Lake and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
54.74% (1.126 1.13) 22.09% (-0.248 -0.25) 23.17% (-0.879 -0.88)
Both teams to score 59.37% (-0.241 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.24% (0.182 0.18)39.76% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.88% (0.188 0.19)62.11% (-0.19 -0.19)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (0.428 0.43)14.5% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (0.825 0.83)42.5% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (-0.633 -0.63)30.56% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.755 -0.76)66.79% (0.753 0.75)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 54.74%
    Real Salt Lake 23.17%
    Draw 22.08%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.31% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.32% (0.196 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 10.14% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 23.17%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Salt Lake

San Jose Earthquakes
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Real Salt Lake
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 2.30am
Jul 31, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-2
Salt Lake
Espinoza (12' pen.), Ebobisse (62')
Espinoza (45+2'), Yueill (85'), Covelo (86'), Gregus (90+5')
Loffelsend (21'), Savarino (90+5')
Glad (12'), MacMath (15'), Chang (37'), Savarino (90+6')
Jun 19, 2022 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-0
Earthquakes
Silva (22'), Savarino (81')
Schmitt (31'), Luiz (84')

Espinoza (68'), Cardoso (79')
Oct 30, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 44
Salt Lake
3-4
Earthquakes
Rusnak (9', 90+3'), Chang (85')
Glad (48')
Fierro (37'), Wondolowski (45+3'), Cowell (69'), Yueill (79')
Alanis (27'), Yueill (45'), Judson (58'), Espinoza (75')
Sep 16, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 33
Earthquakes
3-4
Salt Lake
Lopez (50', 65')
Judson (59'), Lopez (69'), Remedi (72')
Rusnak (49'), Meram (71'), Rubin (81')
Besler (8'), Rusnak (62'), Toia (65'), Ruiz (67'), Kreilach (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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