Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
54.74% ( 1.13) | 22.09% ( -0.25) | 23.17% ( -0.88) |
Both teams to score 59.37% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.24% ( 0.18) | 39.76% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.88% ( 0.19) | 62.11% ( -0.19) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.5% ( 0.43) | 14.5% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.5% ( 0.83) | 42.5% ( -0.83) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.43% ( -0.63) | 30.56% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.21% ( -0.76) | 66.79% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.18% Total : 54.74% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.89% Total : 23.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |