Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
44.82% ( 0.01) | 25.03% ( -0) | 30.15% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.65% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.47% ( 0.02) | 47.54% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.26% ( 0.02) | 69.74% ( -0.01) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.77% ( 0.01) | 21.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.86% ( 0.02) | 54.14% ( -0.01) |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( 0.02) | 29.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.67% ( 0.02) | 65.33% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.82% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |